Within days of the trends this blog spoke of, insider polling now is shifting even more extreme as the GOP field on all fronts is gravitating toward two candidates in Newt Gingrich and Herman Cain as voters start to pay attention.
This blog stated the point to watch was the erosion of the Mitt Romney base and if Rick Perry could make a sustained corralling of his votes.
Perry is at 6% of the also ran group and Romney is literally crashing at 18%.
That means 25% Romney has lost nationally 7% of this voting block, as they have moved toward Gingrich who is surging. Newt's best appeal is to those patrician Limbaugh leaners which espouse to Mormon Romney.
Romney appear like old toastettes...........5 years on the platter of his running, and even patricians want something different to put caviar on.
The also rans are libertarian Paul at 5%, Michelle Bachmann's Conservative base at 5%, and Huntsman the liberal Mormon at 3% and Santorum at 1%.
That vote parses out at 11% Conservative and 3% wacko Obama liberal voters, which means that Romney has access to only 3% of the voting block to trend with, while Gingrich and Cain are going to continue to pull from 17% with Perry's 6.
What that means is, out of Iowa and New Hampshire, the GOP blocks will be moving toward two competing sects in Cain and Gingrich.
Gingrich will pull a greater share of the establishment vote while Cain will trend toward the Tea Party.
Ron Paul will keep running, but if Perry continue to erode, I doubt he will want to waste his money on something making him look like a fool. Bachmann has incentive to carry on for awhile to gain a foothold to be Speaker.
What that points to is for better or worse, Newt Gingrich will be the GOP contender. I do not as stated see how two Georgians will run on the same ticket. That then points to a logical choice of female in the latin or asian group, even Michele Bachmann of Minnesota to secure that state.
I though have made my assessment known in Filipino American, Michelle Malkin. She lived in Pennsylvania and New Jersey, and, is solid Colorado native now, and brings up the birther issue.
While I still detest Gingrich in 2008 at yawning at the GOP convention, but did govern in the Contract with America and kept his word in turning Clinton onto it.........although that got Clinton re elected.
The important thing is though that fraud Lizard Romney is toast in this trend is moving to bury him where he belongs.
Thank the Lord for that.
PS: Wonder at the printed word power of this blog by God, as coming out against Romney a few weeks ago, and he drops 7%?
Just another coincidence.
agtG
Polling
The Lame Cherry
the always expert is the expert always