Thursday, April 3, 2025

The Russian Ceasefire Line



Ukraine? It all just looks like more of Russia to me until Easter.



German, Scandinavian, Latin American, and French troops have also arrived, while the number of Poles and Romanians unexpectedly decreased, according to Sergei Lebedev, coordinator of the pro-Russian underground movement in Mykolaiv.


As another Lame Cherry exclusive in matter anti matter.


In studying the Russian advances inside Ukraine on the current push along the entire front, it appears there has been an agreed upon front between President Donald Trump and President Vladimir Putin. Yes both have ideas about things, but it the main staple appears that Russia is being allowed to advance slowly to get this ceasefire into place.


The lines are quite stable and while I had thought that Russia would for security be putting this all to the Dan River, that is not the case. It appears Russia will hold the front where it is, and I assume that an accepted peacekeeping forcc will be in this DMZ. The two maps below show a close up and an entire front DMZ.






Russia is being perfectly acceptable in where it has chosen it's line of Russian settled areas. Kiev pissing around in Kursk or Belgorod are nothing burgers that they are trying to trade millions of acres for a section of Russian land. Not going to happen, I wrote of this gambit, but the Ukrainians and NATO botched all of this in thee most inept war planning on the planet.


There are a number of objectives, but the centered one is at Pokrovsk which will fall to Russia and cut Kiev communications to the entire front there. The Russians for pressure and security are still building offensive forces as it requires months to get them into the pipeline if this ceasefire is sabotaged again.

I will explain the Russian coming offensive if a ceasefire is sabotaged


"It would be a substantial blow to the Ukrainians, and I'm not sure one that they can stop from happening," David Silbey, a professor of military history at Cornell University in the United States, told RFE/RL.

"If they lose it, they lose that kind of fairly straightforward access to their defensive lines, and that makes it much harder to build up forces there and keep fighting," he said.


I can only assess what the Germans would conduct operations, and yes this might cause a panic for the fags of Europe West to send in troops, but  once Russia slices up this front, they should drive through the brakes, and form pincers all along the front to cut off and capture the forces there. They could overrun and smash forward, but that would cause more panic, unless they stopped at the Dan River which is a secure barrier for Russia.

That though is far more territory and angry Slavs than Russia appears to want to deal with. I believe that if Russia captures a bit of Sumy to negotiate, keeps a bit of Kursk region, and gets Pokrovsk, they would be content to settle down there as that is what their strategy has been all along. Russia is prudent. They realize that if they get what they have now, then in a few years, they can spur elections in the border areas and get those people to vote to join Russia too.

President Trump wants this dwarf in power to sign a deal to get this done with, that is why he is angry at President Putin moving for the UN to become involved. Zellinskyy is buckling some though as he is trying to get American, British, Bulgarian and Turkish troops into the peacekeeper mode. President Trump must shut this down in no American or British forces as Russia will never accept that.

Russia's entire goal was the Russian lands and it has most of them. It can declare victory as it is victory and this can be turned over to a Berlin, London and Paris intrigue, with America out of it.

Russia could have smashed Ukraine, but it did not. It meant to make this attrition. Russia could have driven this to the Don River and secured it in 2 weeks but had the NATO Maginot Line to fight and clear out for several years. This was the prudent Moscow war plan and it was the correct one. 

If London and Kiev do not start a terror war inside Russian Ukraine, this is a secure zone and will be of great benefit to the Donbass Russians who will prosper in this beautiful part of the world.

Russia will just keep advancing a few kilometers on the front, taking more land in the Donbass region until a ceasefire. I doubt they can take all the region before an April 20 day, but they should roll up Pokrovsk by cutting off the main highway there, after killing more Ukrainian troops trained in France.


I'm certain that it was hypothetically mentioned how long Russia would need to solidify it's advances, and April 20 was the date stated. Russia has this time now to clean up the front and it is moving to do so.







Nuff Said



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