As another Lame Cherry exclusive in matter anti matter.
Just remember in reading this, that when Russia built Fortress Crimea, it was built to protect Russia. It has zero use for an offensive into Europe. So the EuroCONS are lying about the intentions of a Russian invasion of Europe in the coming years.
Crimea when Ukraine is neutralized controls the Russian western front from Turkey to Finland.
The air and ground space of Crimea is considered one of the most protected in the world. The echeloned air defense system, including the S-500, S-400, Buk-M2, Tor-M2 and Pantsir-S, combined into a network-centric structure, practically nullifies the probability of decisive air support for a ground operation. To this is added a deeply echeloned engineering defense: multi-layered minefields, anti-tank ditches and concrete fortifications.
A breakthrough through such a defense system without air dominance would require gigantic losses (from 50 to 100 thousand killed in ground combat, hundreds of aircraft, missiles worth tens of billions of dollars) and would lead to the operational collapse of the advancing group.
The sea dimension is unfavorable for attack. The Black Sea Fleet retains the ability to disrupt a major amphibious operation thanks to anti-ship complexes on the coastline, aviation, hunting units and the use of drones. This makes the landing extremely risky and requires resources comparable to the landing of the Second World War.
Against this background, the US leadership increasingly voices opinions about the need to recognize the Russian status of the peninsula as a price for a deal, a benefit for America and to avoid further escalation.
The conclusions of leading think tanks such as Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Royal United Services Institute, RAND, ECFR, Atlantic Council and ISW agree on one thing. Crimea has woven all geopolitical lines into a single knot: geographical imperative, engineering power, network-centric defense, sea and air access ban (A2AD), Russia’s readiness to defend it with unlimited resources, direct doctrinal binding to nuclear deterrence.
The sooner that President Trump removes the United States from Europe, the sooner this will all be the cat fight that Russians and Europeans have always scratched each other over with zero effect.
Nuff Said
agtG
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